Anthropic's amended S-1 says it may soon meet its own definition of accelerated AI progress

An article on epyhia.com, which cites TechCrunch, reports that Anthropic's revised S-1/A registration statement, filed on Monday, November 2, includes a new risk disclosure. According to the article, the filing says Anthropic's internal estimates and expectations about future models, not its current ones, indicate it may "imminently" meet the definition of "dramatically accelerated progress attributable to AI" in its Responsible Scaling Policy, a threshold the article equates with recursive self-improvement. The filing says none of its current models has crossed that threshold and that Anthropic is considering changes to the policy "to keep humans in control of frontier model development at Anthropic."

The article also says the filing notes Anthropic has in the past not identified a significant acceleration in its development rate until after it happened. It sets the filing against figures from Anthropic's May essay "When AI builds itself", which it says puts Claude at leading 26% of AI research tasks as of August, with no area where Claude works fully autonomously. The quotes and figures are the article's reading of the filing and of Anthropic's own publications.

The initial S-1 was filed on October 26.